With the complete failure known as the BCS, only 2 team can play for the right to be the national champion. We already have several no-loss teams, but some of them are bound to lose (Florida/Bama, IOWA, Cincy...), so it is my task to handicap the teams with one loss already. Yes, personal vendettas and hatred will cloud my judgment, but remember that this is college football. No one has had a clear thought about it since 1877.
Georgia Tech:
The triple option continues to bulldoze all in their way in a most powerful and impressive fashion. Although Miami tripped them up, GT is in the driver's seat in the Coastal Division in the ACC. Their defense is stout and their schedule here on out is definitely a low calorie light beer style pilsner, so they will probably go to the ACC championship and defeat whoever they play from the terrible Atlantic Conference.
Chances of Almost Undefeated season: 1 in 2
Houston:
The volatility index numbers on Houston are very high because when you are a small conference kingpin who came out of nowhere, you tend to lose games you really shouldn't lose. Remember East Carolina last year... they shocked Virginia Tech and West Virginia... but then they lost to Virginia and Southern Miss. Houston has a good offense and Case Keenum is this year's QB du Jour from a small conference, but will their defense hold? I vote no.
Chances of Almost Undefeated season: 1 in 15
LSU:
Their offense looked good last week against Tulane, but remember, it was Tulane. The defense is good, but really we can't make any projections here until after they play Alabama this weekend. That game will sort out who will go to the SECCG barring a large meltdown somewhere.
Chances of Almost Undefeated season: 1 in 9
Oregon:
The Ducks offense is ridiculous right now. We now know that Boise State just happened to catch them with the keys not in the ignition and a rematch would be a game of the year in the making. Oregon vivisected USC and has a free run at the Rose Bowl... a win against Arizona will clinch that. Of all the teams, they are the most likely to only have one loss.
Chances of Almost Undefeated season: 7 in 10
Penn State:
Penn State, as usual, is rolling along like it's no one's business. Yet they have Ohio State and a volatile Michigan State team left on the slate. The offense has been OK, but the defense has been excellent, quietly giving up only 73 points in 9 games. But these last few games are tough sledding. Also, remember, they lost to Iowa... so they need a Corn loss to get to the Rose Bowl unless somehow Iowa goes undefeated and the voters feel they deserve a NC birth.
Chances of Almost Undefeated season: 1 in 6
Pitt:
The Wannstache? Going 11-1 in the regular season? ROTFLMAOzorz!
Chances of Almost Undefeated season: 1 in infinity
Utah:
They need to play TCU and they are the last hope to stop them and then they get to play BYU, who is pretty good. This is very tough sledding and more than likely it won't happen.
Chances of Almost Undefeated season: 1 in 45
Tuesday, November 3, 2009
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